Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.8%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President <1%
$8,128,290 Vol.
$8,128,290 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$326,775 Vol.
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$377,031 Vol.
3%
Starmer - UK PM
$371,108 Vol.
<1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$366,352 Vol.
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$380,051 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$282,210 Vol.
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$299,916 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$410,093 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$270,250 Vol.
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
$337,666 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$258,551 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$284,353 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$243,210 Vol.
<1%
Trump - USA President
$385,903 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$313,953 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$239,319 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$224,625 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$249,643 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$274,765 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$277,272 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$273,728 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$276,501 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$240,969 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$310,065 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$331,907 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$292,168 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$232,170 Vol.
<1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.8%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President <1%
$8,128,290 Vol.
$8,128,290 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
3%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
None before 2027
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
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