Next leader out of power before 2027?
$1,485,650 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM 42%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 20%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 8.0%
Lecornu - France PM 5.3%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$81,826 Vol.
42%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$81,826 Vol.
42%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$57,009 Vol.
20%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$57,009 Vol.
20%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$67,704 Vol.
8%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$67,704 Vol.
8%
Lecornu - France PM
$54,884 Vol.
5%
Lecornu - France PM
$54,884 Vol.
5%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$49,132 Vol.
3%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$49,132 Vol.
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$49,303 Vol.
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$49,303 Vol.
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$50,191 Vol.
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$50,191 Vol.
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$70,220 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$70,220 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$62,279 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$62,279 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$71,603 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$71,603 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$51,094 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$51,094 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$54,557 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$54,557 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$47,866 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$47,866 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$43,776 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$43,776 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$48,770 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$48,770 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$49,605 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$49,605 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$43,297 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$43,297 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$55,809 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$55,809 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$52,731 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$52,731 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$53,066 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$53,066 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$36,158 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$36,158 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$51,851 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$51,851 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$48,190 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$48,190 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$66,848 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$66,848 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$41,714 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$41,714 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$75,444 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$75,444 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$51,633 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$51,633 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,485,650 Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 42%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 20%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 8.0%
Lecornu - France PM 5.3%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
42%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
20%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
8%
Lecornu - France PM
5%
Takaichi - Japan PM
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
1%
None before 2027
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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