Name: Next CEO of Lululemon?
Start: 2025-12-12T00:45:56.802409Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Lululemon.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Lululemon Inc.

Jon McNeill

Teri List

Jane Nielsen

Meghan Frank

Emily White

Alison Loehnis

Stephanie Linnartz

André Maestrini

Marti Morfitt

Next CEO of Lululemon?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook ceases to be CEO of Apple for any length of time between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends 2026 LEC Versus.

If the 2026 LEC Versus is postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?

This market will resolve according to the name of the person announced as the next creative director of Versace.

The listed person must be officially announced by Versace or Prada Group as the new Creative Director or an equivalent title such as Chief Creative Officer, Artistic Director of Versace, etc.

If no new creative director is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Any announcement of a decision before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Versace or Prada group, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Pieter Mulier be named the next creative director of Versace?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially selected and appointed to be Prime Minister of Thailand following the 2026 general legislative election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally selected for the role of Prime Minister and appointed to the role by the king of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is selected and appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." 

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Cleveland Browns.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market is official information from the Cleveland Browns, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jim Schwartz be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Klint Kubiak be the next Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Buffalo Bills.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the Buffalo Bills; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Brian Daboll be the next Buffalo Bills Head Coach?

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes"  if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

This market will resolve to the team that wins the LCK Cup 2026 scheduled for Jan 14 - March 1.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the LCK Cup 2026 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the LCK Cup 2026 is cancelled, postponed after March 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LCK/2026/Cup). 

Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?

Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Bryan Johnson recently made public his relationship with co-founder Kate Tolo (https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1995953490930401334). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bryan Johnson proposes to Kate Tolo by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is definitively determined that Bryan Johnson and Kate Tolo have ended their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be photo or video of the proposal, or official statements of Bryan Johnson, Kate Tolo, or their legal representatives, otherwise a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Lecornu  out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. 

If the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

An announcement of Super Bowl LX matchup before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this matchup to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Cook announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between December 8, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify.

Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify. 

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ubisoft announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Ubisoft.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Tennessee Titans.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by April 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market is official information from the Tennessee Titans, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matt Burke be the next Tennessee Titans Head Coach?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Jane Nielsen
$248 Vol.
35%

André Maestrini
$332 Vol.
23%

Meghan Frank
$26,519 Vol.
40%

Marti Morfitt
$163 Vol.
23%

Jon McNeill
$160 Vol.
23%

Teri List
$148 Vol.
23%

Emily White
$126 Vol.
12%

Alison Loehnis
$163 Vol.
23%

Stephanie Linnartz
$160 Vol.
23%

Market Context

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Rules

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Market Context

Next CEO of Lululemon?

About

Related

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Jane Nielsen$248 Vol.35%Buy Yes57¢Buy No87¢

André Maestrini$332 Vol.23%Buy Yes44.7¢Buy No99.7¢

Meghan Frank$26,519 Vol.40%Buy Yes43.6¢Buy No63.3¢

Marti Morfitt$163 Vol.23%Buy Yes45.4¢Buy No99.1¢

Jon McNeill$160 Vol.23%Buy Yes44.5¢Buy No99.1¢

Teri List$148 Vol.23%Buy Yes45¢Buy No99¢

Emily White$126 Vol.12%Buy Yes22¢Buy No99¢

Alison Loehnis$163 Vol.23%Buy Yes45¢Buy No99¢

Stephanie Linnartz$160 Vol.23%Buy Yes45¢Buy No99¢

Market Context

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Rules

Next CEO of Lululemon?

Market Context

Next CEO of Lululemon?

About

Related

Jane Nielsen
$248 Vol.
35%

André Maestrini
$332 Vol.
23%

Meghan Frank
$26,519 Vol.
40%

Marti Morfitt
$163 Vol.
23%

Jon McNeill
$160 Vol.
23%

Teri List
$148 Vol.
23%

Emily White
$126 Vol.
12%

Alison Loehnis
$163 Vol.
23%

Stephanie Linnartz
$160 Vol.
23%