Market icon

Most popular girl name 2025

Market icon

Most popular girl name 2025

Olivia 86.7%

Emma 7.3%

Amelia 4.3%

Isabella 3.8%

Polymarket

$209,761 Vol.

Olivia 86.7%

Emma 7.3%

Amelia 4.3%

Isabella 3.8%

Polymarket

$209,761 Vol.

Olivia

$185,097 Vol.

87%

Emma

$12,083 Vol.

7%

Amelia

$0 Vol.

4%

Isabella

$12,580 Vol.

4%

Mia

$0 Vol.

2%

Charlotte

$0 Vol.

1%

Evelyn

$0 Vol.

1%

Sofia

$0 Vol.

1%

Sophia

$0 Vol.

1%

Ava

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia commands an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 on Polymarket, driven by its unbroken streak atop Social Security Administration lists—sixth year running in 2024 data—and reaffirmed leadership in BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings of parent registrations for 2025 births, where it edged out Amelia and Emma. This trader consensus reflects Olivia's cultural staying power amid stable naming trends favoring timeless, elegant choices, with no disruptive risers like Eliana or Aurora threatening the top spot yet. Recent regional data, including Alberta's February 2026 report naming Olivia #1 for the 13th year, bolsters the frontrunner status. Emma trails at 7.4% as the perennial challenger, while the SSA's expected May 2026 release remains the key catalyst for final resolution.

Olivia commands an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 on Polymarket, driven by its unbroken streak atop Social Security Administration lists—sixth year running in 2024 data—and reaffirmed leadership in BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings of parent registrations for 2025 births, where it edged out Amelia and Emma. This trader consensus reflects Olivia's cultural staying power amid stable naming trends favoring timeless, elegant choices, with no disruptive risers like Eliana or Aurora threatening the top spot yet. Recent regional data, including Alberta's February 2026 report naming Olivia #1 for the 13th year, bolsters the frontrunner status. Emma trails at 7.4% as the perennial challenger, while the SSA's expected May 2026 release remains the key catalyst for final resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia commands an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 on Polymarket, driven by its unbroken streak atop Social Security Administration lists—sixth year running in 2024 data—and reaffirmed leadership in BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings of parent registrations for 2025 births, where it edged out Amelia and Emma. This trader consensus reflects Olivia's cultural staying power amid stable naming trends favoring timeless, elegant choices, with no disruptive risers like Eliana or Aurora threatening the top spot yet. Recent regional data, including Alberta's February 2026 report naming Olivia #1 for the 13th year, bolsters the frontrunner status. Emma trails at 7.4% as the perennial challenger, while the SSA's expected May 2026 release remains the key catalyst for final resolution.

Olivia commands an 86.7% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 on Polymarket, driven by its unbroken streak atop Social Security Administration lists—sixth year running in 2024 data—and reaffirmed leadership in BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings of parent registrations for 2025 births, where it edged out Amelia and Emma. This trader consensus reflects Olivia's cultural staying power amid stable naming trends favoring timeless, elegant choices, with no disruptive risers like Eliana or Aurora threatening the top spot yet. Recent regional data, including Alberta's February 2026 report naming Olivia #1 for the 13th year, bolsters the frontrunner status. Emma trails at 7.4% as the perennial challenger, while the SSA's expected May 2026 release remains the key catalyst for final resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular girl name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia" at 87%, followed by "Emma" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular girl name 2025" has generated $209.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular girl name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular girl name 2025" is "Olivia" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Emma" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular girl name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.