June 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
<1.09 100.0%
1.09-1.15 100.0%
1.16-1.22 100.0%
1.23-1.29 100.0%
$199,186 Vol.
$199,186 Vol.
Jul 1, 2024
<1.09
$72,477 Vol.
No
<1.09
$72,477 Vol.
No
1.09-1.15
$67,838 Vol.
No
1.09-1.15
$67,838 Vol.
No
1.16-1.22
$9,931 Vol.
Yes
1.16-1.22
$9,931 Vol.
Yes
1.23-1.29
$14,191 Vol.
No
1.23-1.29
$14,191 Vol.
No
>1.29
$34,749 Vol.
No
>1.29
$34,749 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.09°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.09°C for June 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2024 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.09°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.09°C for June 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2024 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.09°C for June 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2024 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Created At: Jun 12, 2024, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$199,186End Date
Jun 30, 2024Created At
Jun 12, 2024, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
June 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
<1.09 100.0%
1.09-1.15 100.0%
1.16-1.22 100.0%
1.23-1.29 100.0%
$199,186 Vol.
$199,186 Vol.
Jul 1, 2024
<1.09
$72,477 Vol.
No
1.09-1.15
$67,838 Vol.
No
1.16-1.22
$9,931 Vol.
Yes
1.23-1.29
$14,191 Vol.
No
>1.29
$34,749 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$199,186End Date
Jun 30, 2024Created At
Jun 12, 2024, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txtResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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