Iowa Margin of Victory
Trump by 10%+ 99.8%
Trump by 8-9% <1%
Harris by 4%+ <1%
Trump by 5-6% <1%
$45,024,087 Vol.
$45,024,087 Vol.
Harris by 4%+
$409,441 Vol.
No
Harris by 4%+
$409,441 Vol.
No
Harris by 3-4%
$154,406 Vol.
No
Harris by 3-4%
$154,406 Vol.
No
Harris by 2-3%
$177,535 Vol.
No
Harris by 2-3%
$177,535 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-2%
$138,009 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-2%
$138,009 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-1%
$3,583,911 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-1%
$3,583,911 Vol.
No
Trump by 0-1%
$122,181 Vol.
No
Trump by 0-1%
$122,181 Vol.
No
Trump by 1-2%
$3,906,300 Vol.
No
Trump by 1-2%
$3,906,300 Vol.
No
Trump by 2-3%
$2,502,095 Vol.
No
Trump by 2-3%
$2,502,095 Vol.
No
Trump by 3-4%
$15,358,928 Vol.
No
Trump by 3-4%
$15,358,928 Vol.
No
Trump by 4-5%
$138,182 Vol.
No
Trump by 4-5%
$138,182 Vol.
No
Trump by 5-6%
$365,049 Vol.
No
Trump by 5-6%
$365,049 Vol.
No
Trump by 6-7%
$97,618 Vol.
No
Trump by 6-7%
$97,618 Vol.
No
Trump by 7-8%
$212,189 Vol.
No
Trump by 7-8%
$212,189 Vol.
No
Trump by 8-9%
$107,807 Vol.
No
Trump by 8-9%
$107,807 Vol.
No
Trump by 9-10%
$17,135,204 Vol.
No
Trump by 9-10%
$17,135,204 Vol.
No
Trump by 10%+
$615,231 Vol.
Yes
Trump by 10%+
$615,231 Vol.
Yes
Rules
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Iowa for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Iowa has certified the vote.
If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Created At: Nov 2, 2024, 9:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Iowa Margin of Victory
Trump by 10%+ 99.8%
Trump by 8-9% <1%
Harris by 4%+ <1%
Trump by 5-6% <1%
$45,024,087 Vol.
$45,024,087 Vol.
Harris by 4%+
No
Harris by 3-4%
No
Harris by 2-3%
No
Harris by 1-2%
No
Harris by 0-1%
No
Trump by 0-1%
No
Trump by 1-2%
No
Trump by 2-3%
No
Trump by 3-4%
No
Trump by 4-5%
No
Trump by 5-6%
No
Trump by 6-7%
No
Trump by 7-8%
No
Trump by 8-9%
No
Trump by 9-10%
No
Trump by 10%+
Yes
About
Resolver
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