Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69% and TISZA at 30.5% for second place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing Péter Magyar's TISZA party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 15–23 points among decided voters. Surveys from 21 Kutatóközpont (Tisza 56%, Fidesz 37%) and Medián (Tisza 58%, Fidesz 35%) released in late March and early April indicate TISZA's surge driven by youth turnout, economic discontent, and anti-incumbency sentiment, widening gaps from prior months. Fidesz retains advantages in the mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus proportional list seats with winner compensation—boosting odds it secures runner-up status even if trailing national vote share. Other parties like Mi Hazánk trail far behind amid opposition fragmentation, with undecided voters and final-week campaigning as key variables ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFidesz-KDNP 69%
TISZA 31%
Mi Hazánk <1%
MSZP <1%
$87,474 Vol.
$87,474 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
69%
TISZA
31%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
MSZP
<1%
DK
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
LMP
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 69%
TISZA 31%
Mi Hazánk <1%
MSZP <1%
$87,474 Vol.
$87,474 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
$16,760 Vol.
69%
TISZA
$15,915 Vol.
31%
Mi Hazánk
$27,957 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$14,045 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$2,536 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$2,447 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69% and TISZA at 30.5% for second place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing Péter Magyar's TISZA party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 15–23 points among decided voters. Surveys from 21 Kutatóközpont (Tisza 56%, Fidesz 37%) and Medián (Tisza 58%, Fidesz 35%) released in late March and early April indicate TISZA's surge driven by youth turnout, economic discontent, and anti-incumbency sentiment, widening gaps from prior months. Fidesz retains advantages in the mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus proportional list seats with winner compensation—boosting odds it secures runner-up status even if trailing national vote share. Other parties like Mi Hazánk trail far behind amid opposition fragmentation, with undecided voters and final-week campaigning as key variables ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$87,474End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69% and TISZA at 30.5% for second place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing Péter Magyar's TISZA party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 15–23 points among decided voters. Surveys from 21 Kutatóközpont (Tisza 56%, Fidesz 37%) and Medián (Tisza 58%, Fidesz 35%) released in late March and early April indicate TISZA's surge driven by youth turnout, economic discontent, and anti-incumbency sentiment, widening gaps from prior months. Fidesz retains advantages in the mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus proportional list seats with winner compensation—boosting odds it secures runner-up status even if trailing national vote share. Other parties like Mi Hazánk trail far behind amid opposition fragmentation, with undecided voters and final-week campaigning as key variables ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$87,474End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69% and TISZA at 30.5% for second place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing Péter Magyar's TISZA party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 15–23 points among decided voters. Surveys from 21 Kutatóközpont (Tisza 56%, Fidesz 37%) and Medián (Tisza 58%, Fidesz 35%) released in late March and early April indicate TISZA's surge driven by youth turnout, economic discontent, and anti-incumbency sentiment, widening gaps from prior months. Fidesz retains advantages in the mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus proportional list seats with winner compensation—boosting odds it secures runner-up status even if trailing national vote share. Other parties like Mi Hazánk trail far behind amid opposition fragmentation, with undecided voters and final-week campaigning as key variables ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
97%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70%
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
80%
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