The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 24°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered around 23–25°C, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher and 28.5% for exactly 24°C. This positioning reflects lingering effects from two weather fronts that swept northern Taiwan starting April 3, delivering rainfall and suppressing daytime highs to 23–27°C in recent days amid reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but current model guidance highlights uncertainty in shower timing and frontal decay, potentially allowing brief clearing for higher peaks. Traders await April 6 observations and the next CWA update for refined guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
25°C or higher 47%
24°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
12%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C or higher
47%
25°C or higher 47%
24°C 28%
23°C 19%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
15°C or below
$856 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$743 Vol.
1%
19°C
$228 Vol.
3%
20°C
$112 Vol.
4%
21°C
$93 Vol.
7%
22°C
$77 Vol.
12%
23°C
$162 Vol.
19%
24°C
$136 Vol.
28%
25°C or higher
$608 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 24°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered around 23–25°C, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher and 28.5% for exactly 24°C. This positioning reflects lingering effects from two weather fronts that swept northern Taiwan starting April 3, delivering rainfall and suppressing daytime highs to 23–27°C in recent days amid reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but current model guidance highlights uncertainty in shower timing and frontal decay, potentially allowing brief clearing for higher peaks. Traders await April 6 observations and the next CWA update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$4,764End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 24°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered around 23–25°C, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher and 28.5% for exactly 24°C. This positioning reflects lingering effects from two weather fronts that swept northern Taiwan starting April 3, delivering rainfall and suppressing daytime highs to 23–27°C in recent days amid reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but current model guidance highlights uncertainty in shower timing and frontal decay, potentially allowing brief clearing for higher peaks. Traders await April 6 observations and the next CWA update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,764End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 24°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered around 23–25°C, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher and 28.5% for exactly 24°C. This positioning reflects lingering effects from two weather fronts that swept northern Taiwan starting April 3, delivering rainfall and suppressing daytime highs to 23–27°C in recent days amid reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. Historical April averages hover near 25°C, but current model guidance highlights uncertainty in shower timing and frontal decay, potentially allowing brief clearing for higher peaks. Traders await April 6 observations and the next CWA update for refined guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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