The National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, drives trader consensus toward 32°C as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature on April 4, amid inter-monsoon conditions bringing wetter weather with afternoon thundery showers that could temper peaks. Recent observations show March closing warmly, with daily maxima above 34°C most days, peaking at 35.2°C on March 24, aligning with forecasts of 33–35°C ranges through mid-April, occasionally exceeding 35°C. Historical April averages hover around 31°C, but current above-normal heat persistence and model consensus for low wind shear support elevated odds for 33°C (28.5%) and 31°C (18.5%), while showers introduce uncertainty; monitor NEA's daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
32°C 42%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 11%
$14,121 Vol.
$14,121 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
42%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 42%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 11%
$14,121 Vol.
$14,121 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
42%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, issued April 1, drives trader consensus toward 32°C as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature on April 4, amid inter-monsoon conditions bringing wetter weather with afternoon thundery showers that could temper peaks. Recent observations show March closing warmly, with daily maxima above 34°C most days, peaking at 35.2°C on March 24, aligning with forecasts of 33–35°C ranges through mid-April, occasionally exceeding 35°C. Historical April averages hover around 31°C, but current above-normal heat persistence and model consensus for low wind shear support elevated odds for 33°C (28.5%) and 31°C (18.5%), while showers introduce uncertainty; monitor NEA's daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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