Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Shanghai high temperature of 22°C today (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on this peak amid persistent afternoon cloud cover and mild southerly airflow capping solar heating. Current observations at major stations like Pudong and Hongqiao align, with midday readings in the low 20s°C and overcast conditions limiting further warming, consistent with March climatology where late-month highs average 15–17°C but warm anomalies occur under similar setups. Realistic challenges include rare late-day clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C+, though dense stratus layers and weakening instability make this improbable; official end-of-day reports from Shanghai's meteorological observatories will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
NEW
$290,109 Vol.
NEW
$290,109 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
NEW
$290,109 Vol.
NEW
$290,109 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
22°C
$37,166 Vol.
100%
23°C or higher
$72,774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Shanghai high temperature of 22°C today (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on this peak amid persistent afternoon cloud cover and mild southerly airflow capping solar heating. Current observations at major stations like Pudong and Hongqiao align, with midday readings in the low 20s°C and overcast conditions limiting further warming, consistent with March climatology where late-month highs average 15–17°C but warm anomalies occur under similar setups. Realistic challenges include rare late-day clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C+, though dense stratus layers and weakening instability make this improbable; official end-of-day reports from Shanghai's meteorological observatories will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volume
$290,109End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Shanghai high temperature of 22°C today (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on this peak amid persistent afternoon cloud cover and mild southerly airflow capping solar heating. Current observations at major stations like Pudong and Hongqiao align, with midday readings in the low 20s°C and overcast conditions limiting further warming, consistent with March climatology where late-month highs average 15–17°C but warm anomalies occur under similar setups. Realistic challenges include rare late-day clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C+, though dense stratus layers and weakening instability make this improbable; official end-of-day reports from Shanghai's meteorological observatories will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$290,109End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Shanghai high temperature of 22°C today (99.9% implied probability), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, which converge on this peak amid persistent afternoon cloud cover and mild southerly airflow capping solar heating. Current observations at major stations like Pudong and Hongqiao align, with midday readings in the low 20s°C and overcast conditions limiting further warming, consistent with March climatology where late-month highs average 15–17°C but warm anomalies occur under similar setups. Realistic challenges include rare late-day clearing allowing brief spikes to 23°C+, though dense stratus layers and weakening instability make this improbable; official end-of-day reports from Shanghai's meteorological observatories will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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