Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–15°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on 12–14°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. Early spring variability in the Korean Peninsula, with historical April 2 highs averaging near 14°C during the transition from cooler March patterns, contributes to the narrow spread, though differing cloud cover projections introduce uncertainty—persistent overcast could cap at 12–13°C, while clearer skies might push toward 15°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
14°C 21%
12°C 16%
$57,368 Vol.
$57,368 Vol.
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
16%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
13%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
14°C 21%
12°C 16%
$57,368 Vol.
$57,368 Vol.
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
16%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
22%
16°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–15°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on 12–14°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. Early spring variability in the Korean Peninsula, with historical April 2 highs averaging near 14°C during the transition from cooler March patterns, contributes to the narrow spread, though differing cloud cover projections introduce uncertainty—persistent overcast could cap at 12–13°C, while clearer skies might push toward 15°C. Monitor KMA hourly updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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