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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Apr 4

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Apr 4

14°C 27%

13°C 24%

15°C 20%

12°C 15%

Polymarket

$59,121 Vol.

14°C 27%

13°C 24%

15°C 20%

12°C 15%

Polymarket

$59,121 Vol.

6°C or below

$20,923 Vol.

1%

7°C

$3,458 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$3,741 Vol.

1%

9°C

$5,274 Vol.

1%

10°C

$5,163 Vol.

2%

11°C

$3,904 Vol.

7%

12°C

$2,446 Vol.

15%

13°C

$3,247 Vol.

24%

14°C

$2,254 Vol.

27%

15°C

$2,949 Vol.

20%

16°C or higher

$6,997 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 2, with 13°C and 14°C each at 23.5% implied probability and 15°C close behind at 20%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term guidance projecting partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating. Cool continental air masses from recent northerly flows, combined with hazy conditions reducing solar insolation, differentiate these outcomes—persistent cloud cover favors 12-13°C, while afternoon clearing could push toward 15-16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread around a 14°C mean, typical for early April when historical highs average 15-16°C but vary with transient weather patterns. New KMA updates expected overnight may refine this ahead of resolution using Wunderground data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,121
End Date
Apr 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 2, with 13°C and 14°C each at 23.5% implied probability and 15°C close behind at 20%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term guidance projecting partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating. Cool continental air masses from recent northerly flows, combined with hazy conditions reducing solar insolation, differentiate these outcomes—persistent cloud cover favors 12-13°C, while afternoon clearing could push toward 15-16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread around a 14°C mean, typical for early April when historical highs average 15-16°C but vary with transient weather patterns. New KMA updates expected overnight may refine this ahead of resolution using Wunderground data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,121
End Date
Apr 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14°C" at 27%, followed by "13°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?" has generated $59.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?" is "14°C" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.