Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast pegs Seoul's daytime high on April 1 at 14–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light raindrops, aligning with early April climatological averages of 14–18°C amid the shift from fading La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild spring warmth. This morning's Yonhap update specifies a 17°C peak, yet trader consensus—reflected in 51.5% implied probability for 14°C and 37.5% for 15°C—prices in cloud-induced suppression of diurnal heating, with morning observations around 9–13°C indicating a capped rise. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially boosting 16°C or higher (23.4%); monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 69%
15°C 29%
16°C or higher 8.2%
11°C <1%
$303,724 Vol.
$303,724 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
69%
15°C
29%
16°C or higher
8%
14°C 69%
15°C 29%
16°C or higher 8.2%
11°C <1%
$303,724 Vol.
$303,724 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
11°C
$27,977 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$44,910 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$44,573 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,609 Vol.
69%
15°C
$14,165 Vol.
29%
16°C or higher
$31,965 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast pegs Seoul's daytime high on April 1 at 14–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light raindrops, aligning with early April climatological averages of 14–18°C amid the shift from fading La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild spring warmth. This morning's Yonhap update specifies a 17°C peak, yet trader consensus—reflected in 51.5% implied probability for 14°C and 37.5% for 15°C—prices in cloud-induced suppression of diurnal heating, with morning observations around 9–13°C indicating a capped rise. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially boosting 16°C or higher (23.4%); monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$303,724End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast pegs Seoul's daytime high on April 1 at 14–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light raindrops, aligning with early April climatological averages of 14–18°C amid the shift from fading La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild spring warmth. This morning's Yonhap update specifies a 17°C peak, yet trader consensus—reflected in 51.5% implied probability for 14°C and 37.5% for 15°C—prices in cloud-induced suppression of diurnal heating, with morning observations around 9–13°C indicating a capped rise. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially boosting 16°C or higher (23.4%); monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$303,724End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast pegs Seoul's daytime high on April 1 at 14–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of light raindrops, aligning with early April climatological averages of 14–18°C amid the shift from fading La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild spring warmth. This morning's Yonhap update specifies a 17°C peak, yet trader consensus—reflected in 51.5% implied probability for 14°C and 37.5% for 15°C—prices in cloud-induced suppression of diurnal heating, with morning observations around 9–13°C indicating a capped rise. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially boosting 16°C or higher (23.4%); monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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