Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and short-term forecasts at Incheon International Airport—the market resolution station—drive the near-certain trader consensus on a 14°C maximum for Seoul on April 1, with current readings peaking at 14.2°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds suppressing daytime heating. Morning lows near 9°C and hourly projections holding steady at 14°C through early afternoon reflect model consensus under a mild upper-air trough and onshore flow, aligning with cooler-than-average April norms historically around 16–17°C. While prolonged clearing could enable extra insolation to nudge toward 15°C, persistent cloud cover and wind patterns make this unlikely; final hourly data will confirm as the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$380,877 Vol.
$380,877 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$380,877 Vol.
$380,877 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
14°C
$43,050 Vol.
100%
15°C
$32,458 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$54,396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and short-term forecasts at Incheon International Airport—the market resolution station—drive the near-certain trader consensus on a 14°C maximum for Seoul on April 1, with current readings peaking at 14.2°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds suppressing daytime heating. Morning lows near 9°C and hourly projections holding steady at 14°C through early afternoon reflect model consensus under a mild upper-air trough and onshore flow, aligning with cooler-than-average April norms historically around 16–17°C. While prolonged clearing could enable extra insolation to nudge toward 15°C, persistent cloud cover and wind patterns make this unlikely; final hourly data will confirm as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$380,877End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and short-term forecasts at Incheon International Airport—the market resolution station—drive the near-certain trader consensus on a 14°C maximum for Seoul on April 1, with current readings peaking at 14.2°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds suppressing daytime heating. Morning lows near 9°C and hourly projections holding steady at 14°C through early afternoon reflect model consensus under a mild upper-air trough and onshore flow, aligning with cooler-than-average April norms historically around 16–17°C. While prolonged clearing could enable extra insolation to nudge toward 15°C, persistent cloud cover and wind patterns make this unlikely; final hourly data will confirm as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$380,877End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations and short-term forecasts at Incheon International Airport—the market resolution station—drive the near-certain trader consensus on a 14°C maximum for Seoul on April 1, with current readings peaking at 14.2°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds suppressing daytime heating. Morning lows near 9°C and hourly projections holding steady at 14°C through early afternoon reflect model consensus under a mild upper-air trough and onshore flow, aligning with cooler-than-average April norms historically around 16–17°C. While prolonged clearing could enable extra insolation to nudge toward 15°C, persistent cloud cover and wind patterns make this unlikely; final hourly data will confirm as the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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