Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 62-63°F (48.5% implied probability) for San Francisco International Airport's high temperature today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 63°F amid sunny skies and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. Overnight rain from a departing low-pressure system cleared early this morning, allowing solar heating post a record-hot March that has primed above-normal temperatures into early April. However, persistent marine air advection and gusty winds suppress coastal warming, consistent with historical April averages around 62°F at the KSFO station. Model ensembles like GFS show agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, though lingering clouds or intensified breezes could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F (31%). Hourly NWS observations through mid-afternoon will refine the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 2?
62-63°F 47%
60-61°F 31%
64-65°F 10%
58-59°F 8%
$24,145 Vol.
$24,145 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
48-49°F
<1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
47%
64-65°F
10%
66°F or higher
4%
62-63°F 47%
60-61°F 31%
64-65°F 10%
58-59°F 8%
$24,145 Vol.
$24,145 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
48-49°F
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,630 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$1,987 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$1,723 Vol.
31%
62-63°F
$1,901 Vol.
47%
64-65°F
$1,923 Vol.
10%
66°F or higher
$3,193 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 62-63°F (48.5% implied probability) for San Francisco International Airport's high temperature today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 63°F amid sunny skies and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. Overnight rain from a departing low-pressure system cleared early this morning, allowing solar heating post a record-hot March that has primed above-normal temperatures into early April. However, persistent marine air advection and gusty winds suppress coastal warming, consistent with historical April averages around 62°F at the KSFO station. Model ensembles like GFS show agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, though lingering clouds or intensified breezes could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F (31%). Hourly NWS observations through mid-afternoon will refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$24,145End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 62-63°F (48.5% implied probability) for San Francisco International Airport's high temperature today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 63°F amid sunny skies and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. Overnight rain from a departing low-pressure system cleared early this morning, allowing solar heating post a record-hot March that has primed above-normal temperatures into early April. However, persistent marine air advection and gusty winds suppress coastal warming, consistent with historical April averages around 62°F at the KSFO station. Model ensembles like GFS show agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, though lingering clouds or intensified breezes could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F (31%). Hourly NWS observations through mid-afternoon will refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,145End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 62-63°F (48.5% implied probability) for San Francisco International Airport's high temperature today, closely tracking National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 63°F amid sunny skies and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. Overnight rain from a departing low-pressure system cleared early this morning, allowing solar heating post a record-hot March that has primed above-normal temperatures into early April. However, persistent marine air advection and gusty winds suppress coastal warming, consistent with historical April averages around 62°F at the KSFO station. Model ensembles like GFS show agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, though lingering clouds or intensified breezes could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F (31%). Hourly NWS observations through mid-afternoon will refine the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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