Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, updated within the last 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting a cooldown from the recent warm spell peaking at 17°C on April 4 amid incoming moist air and overcast skies. The Russian Hydrometeorological Center anticipates partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light rain risks, capping diurnal heating while allowing limited solar influence. High uncertainty stems from model spread—thicker clouds or stronger southerly winds could suppress to 5–6°C (7–19% odds), clearer breaks enable 8–9°C (18–10%), and rare persistence of warm advection pushes 10°C+ (below 10%). New 12z runs and April 5 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official NOAA Moscow station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 33%
6°C 19%
8°C 19%
5°C or below 13.2%
$25,584 Vol.
$25,584 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
5°C or below
13%
6°C
19%
7°C
33%
8°C
19%
9°C
10%
10°C
7%
11°C
3%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 33%
6°C 19%
8°C 19%
5°C or below 13.2%
$25,584 Vol.
$25,584 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
5°C or below
$1,678 Vol.
13%
6°C
$1,198 Vol.
19%
7°C
$1,081 Vol.
33%
8°C
$1,177 Vol.
19%
9°C
$1,103 Vol.
10%
10°C
$1,966 Vol.
7%
11°C
$1,872 Vol.
3%
12°C
$4,030 Vol.
1%
13°C
$3,985 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,585 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,963 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, updated within the last 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting a cooldown from the recent warm spell peaking at 17°C on April 4 amid incoming moist air and overcast skies. The Russian Hydrometeorological Center anticipates partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light rain risks, capping diurnal heating while allowing limited solar influence. High uncertainty stems from model spread—thicker clouds or stronger southerly winds could suppress to 5–6°C (7–19% odds), clearer breaks enable 8–9°C (18–10%), and rare persistence of warm advection pushes 10°C+ (below 10%). New 12z runs and April 5 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official NOAA Moscow station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
Volume
$25,584End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, updated within the last 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting a cooldown from the recent warm spell peaking at 17°C on April 4 amid incoming moist air and overcast skies. The Russian Hydrometeorological Center anticipates partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light rain risks, capping diurnal heating while allowing limited solar influence. High uncertainty stems from model spread—thicker clouds or stronger southerly winds could suppress to 5–6°C (7–19% odds), clearer breaks enable 8–9°C (18–10%), and rare persistence of warm advection pushes 10°C+ (below 10%). New 12z runs and April 5 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official NOAA Moscow station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,584End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, updated within the last 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting a cooldown from the recent warm spell peaking at 17°C on April 4 amid incoming moist air and overcast skies. The Russian Hydrometeorological Center anticipates partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light rain risks, capping diurnal heating while allowing limited solar influence. High uncertainty stems from model spread—thicker clouds or stronger southerly winds could suppress to 5–6°C (7–19% odds), clearer breaks enable 8–9°C (18–10%), and rare persistence of warm advection pushes 10°C+ (below 10%). New 12z runs and April 5 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official NOAA Moscow station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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