Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 74-75°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 5, with 42.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance pointing to a daytime high near 75°F amid partly sunny skies and light northeast winds. Persistent onshore flow is transporting cooler marine layer air inland, moderating warmth following recent overperforming rainfall that cooled the region through April 3. Historical April highs at KLAX average around 70°F, but current upper-level high pressure is boosting temperatures 4-8°F above normal while model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF converge on mid-70s peaks. Overnight NWS updates and morning soundings could shift odds if marine stratus burns off slower than expected, emphasizing typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 5?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 5?
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 8.1%
$32,922 Vol.
$32,922 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 8.1%
$32,922 Vol.
$32,922 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 74-75°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 5, with 42.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance pointing to a daytime high near 75°F amid partly sunny skies and light northeast winds. Persistent onshore flow is transporting cooler marine layer air inland, moderating warmth following recent overperforming rainfall that cooled the region through April 3. Historical April highs at KLAX average around 70°F, but current upper-level high pressure is boosting temperatures 4-8°F above normal while model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF converge on mid-70s peaks. Overnight NWS updates and morning soundings could shift odds if marine stratus burns off slower than expected, emphasizing typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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