Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a high of 72-73°F in downtown Los Angeles (USC station) on April 3, driven by the latest National Weather Service Area Forecast Discussion at 3:07 AM PDT noting significant warming—5-10°F above yesterday's 71°F max—tempered by persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 68-76°F spread, reflecting uncertainty in coastal cloud deck erosion amid light northeast winds and upper-level subsidence aloft, which could boost peak heating to mid-70s°F during 2-4 PM PDT. Historical April normals hover near 71°F, with no major anomalies like El Niño influencing; monitor real-time NWS observations as onshore flow strengthens Sunday, potentially capping coastal highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 18.0%
70-71°F 11%
$52,433 Vol.
$52,433 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
18%
78°F or higher
8%
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 18.0%
70-71°F 11%
$52,433 Vol.
$52,433 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
18%
78°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41.5% implied probability to a high of 72-73°F in downtown Los Angeles (USC station) on April 3, driven by the latest National Weather Service Area Forecast Discussion at 3:07 AM PDT noting significant warming—5-10°F above yesterday's 71°F max—tempered by persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows a 68-76°F spread, reflecting uncertainty in coastal cloud deck erosion amid light northeast winds and upper-level subsidence aloft, which could boost peak heating to mid-70s°F during 2-4 PM PDT. Historical April normals hover near 71°F, with no major anomalies like El Niño influencing; monitor real-time NWS observations as onshore flow strengthens Sunday, potentially capping coastal highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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