Met Office forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 12°C for London today, April 2, anchoring trader sentiment at a 96.2% implied probability as observational data from Heathrow and Kew Gardens this morning shows early readings consistent with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the UK forecaster align on this outcome, with historical April maxima averaging 13°C but current atmospheric conditions—cooler air mass and patchy cloud cover—suppressing warmer potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine breaking through cloud, potentially nudging peaks to 13°C, though low-level inversions and evening cooling favor the consensus; hourly updates from official stations will refine this through afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 2?
Highest temperature in London on April 2?
12°C 96.2%
13°C 2.3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$302,626 Vol.
$302,626 Vol.
12°C
96%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 96.2%
13°C 2.3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$302,626 Vol.
$302,626 Vol.
12°C
96%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 12°C for London today, April 2, anchoring trader sentiment at a 96.2% implied probability as observational data from Heathrow and Kew Gardens this morning shows early readings consistent with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the UK forecaster align on this outcome, with historical April maxima averaging 13°C but current atmospheric conditions—cooler air mass and patchy cloud cover—suppressing warmer potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine breaking through cloud, potentially nudging peaks to 13°C, though low-level inversions and evening cooling favor the consensus; hourly updates from official stations will refine this through afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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