Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 25, driven by official observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming this maximum amid mild spring conditions with moderate cloud cover and stable high-pressure systems suppressing warmer air advection. Recent 24-hour reports showed daytime highs peaking at 17°C before cooling under evening clear skies, aligning with seasonal climatology where March averages hover around 16–18°C. Pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles had narrowed to this outcome by March 24. Realistic challenges would involve rare data revisions from reanalysis or station audits, though verified records rarely shift post-publication.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 25, driven by official observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations confirming this maximum amid mild spring conditions with moderate cloud cover and stable high-pressure systems suppressing warmer air advection. Recent 24-hour reports showed daytime highs peaking at 17°C before cooling under evening clear skies, aligning with seasonal climatology where March averages hover around 16–18°C. Pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles had narrowed to this outcome by March 24. Realistic challenges would involve rare data revisions from reanalysis or station audits, though verified records rarely shift post-publication.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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