Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Chongqing at 31% implied probability, with 22°C (24%) and 21-24°C outcomes tightly clustered, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting daytime peaks of 22-24°C under mild early-spring conditions. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from southerly moisture advection, potential afternoon showers capping peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies allowing 24°C, and Chongqing's basin topography enhancing urban heat island effects amid 70-80% humidity. Historical April averages hover near 23°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty persists until final CMA updates and observations resolve diurnal heating patterns tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
23°C 30%
22°C 25%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
16%
22°C
25%
23°C
30%
24°C
15%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 30%
22°C 25%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
10%
21°C
16%
22°C
25%
23°C
30%
24°C
15%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Chongqing at 31% implied probability, with 22°C (24%) and 21-24°C outcomes tightly clustered, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting daytime peaks of 22-24°C under mild early-spring conditions. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from southerly moisture advection, potential afternoon showers capping peaks at 22°C versus clearer skies allowing 24°C, and Chongqing's basin topography enhancing urban heat island effects amid 70-80% humidity. Historical April averages hover near 23°C, but short-range forecast uncertainty persists until final CMA updates and observations resolve diurnal heating patterns tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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