Trader consensus assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 16°C high temperature in Busan today, anchored by observational data from Gimhae International Airport—the market's resolution station via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 16°C around midday amid persistent mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) reports confirm current afternoon temperatures hovering at 14-15°C with overcast conditions suppressing further warming, aligning with early April climatological norms of 15-18°C daytime highs. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing and solar heating before sunset (around 18:30 KST), potentially nudging to 17°C, though forecast models and declining solar angles render this low-risk. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 5?
16°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
21°C <1%
17°C <1%
$43,714 Vol.
$43,714 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
21°C <1%
17°C <1%
$43,714 Vol.
$43,714 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 16°C high temperature in Busan today, anchored by observational data from Gimhae International Airport—the market's resolution station via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 16°C around midday amid persistent mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) reports confirm current afternoon temperatures hovering at 14-15°C with overcast conditions suppressing further warming, aligning with early April climatological norms of 15-18°C daytime highs. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing and solar heating before sunset (around 18:30 KST), potentially nudging to 17°C, though forecast models and declining solar angles render this low-risk. Final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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