National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a strong consensus for Austin's high temperature on April 9 reaching around 75°F under building upper-level ridging, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal warmth following the recent cold front that capped Easter weekend highs in the 60s-70s. This positioning aligns with climatological norms of 78°F for early April amid a record-warm March backdrop, reflecting trader confidence in post-frontal recovery patterns typical for Central Texas. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture stalling a weak front or divergent model runs in tomorrow's updates, potentially capping highs at 72-73°F, though current implied probabilities reflect low risk of such shifts. New forecast cycles through April 7 will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 9?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 9?
74°F or higher 93%
70-71°F 3.5%
72-73°F 3.5%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
93%
74°F or higher 93%
70-71°F 3.5%
72-73°F 3.5%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a strong consensus for Austin's high temperature on April 9 reaching around 75°F under building upper-level ridging, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal warmth following the recent cold front that capped Easter weekend highs in the 60s-70s. This positioning aligns with climatological norms of 78°F for early April amid a record-warm March backdrop, reflecting trader confidence in post-frontal recovery patterns typical for Central Texas. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture stalling a weak front or divergent model runs in tomorrow's updates, potentially capping highs at 72-73°F, though current implied probabilities reflect low risk of such shifts. New forecast cycles through April 7 will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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