Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F (30.0%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance pegging highs around 81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving temperatures 12-15°F above the early April climatological average of 72°F. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating in the 80s if they develop midday, versus clearer skies and stronger boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 83°F. Ensemble spreads show minor model disagreements on ridge amplitude, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 28%
84°F or higher 15%
78-79°F 14%
$12,160 Vol.
$12,160 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
28%
84°F or higher
15%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 28%
84°F or higher 15%
78-79°F 14%
$12,160 Vol.
$12,160 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
28%
84°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F (30.0%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and GFS/ECMWF ensemble guidance pegging highs around 81°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving temperatures 12-15°F above the early April climatological average of 72°F. Key differentiators include potential cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could limit peak heating in the 80s if they develop midday, versus clearer skies and stronger boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 83°F. Ensemble spreads show minor model disagreements on ridge amplitude, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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