Market icon

Fed Interest Rates: November 2024

25 bps decrease 99.9%

75+ bps decrease <1%

50 bps decrease <1%

No Change <1%

Polymarket

$189,537,155 Vol.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's November 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 75 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for November 6 - 7, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their November meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$189,537,155
End Date
Nov 7, 2024
Created At
Aug 2, 2024, 5:51 PM ET
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's November 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by 75 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for November 6 - 7, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their November meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Fed Interest Rates: November 2024

25 bps decrease 99.9%

75+ bps decrease <1%

50 bps decrease <1%

No Change <1%

Polymarket

$189,537,155 Vol.

75+ bps decrease

$15,031,955 Vol.

No

50 bps decrease

$8,393,268 Vol.

No

25 bps decrease

$5,010,507 Vol.

Yes

No Change

$7,995,207 Vol.

No

25+ bps increase

$133,955,589 Vol.

No

Other

$19,150,630 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$189,537,155
End Date
Nov 7, 2024
Created At
Aug 2, 2024, 5:51 PM ET

Beware of external links.