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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$50,956 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$50,956 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$17,285 Vol.

84%

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Australia

$1,109 Vol.

53%

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Israel

$6,463 Vol.

60%

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Denmark

$5,905 Vol.

59%

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Greece

$2,128 Vol.

57%

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France

$458 Vol.

53%

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Sweden

$6,542 Vol.

40%

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Romania

$169 Vol.

22%

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Italy

$2,035 Vol.

32%

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Ukraine

$32 Vol.

32%

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Malta

$3,316 Vol.

19%

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Czechia

$60 Vol.

17%

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Cyprus

$585 Vol.

16%

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Moldova

$58 Vol.

14%

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Norway

$892 Vol.

13%

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Bulgaria

$124 Vol.

12%

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United Kingdom

$122 Vol.

12%

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Armenia

$351 Vol.

11%

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Serbia

$180 Vol.

11%

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Germany

$693 Vol.

9%

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Georgia

$47 Vol.

9%

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Lithuania

$342 Vol.

9%

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Poland

$0 Vol.

9%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

9%

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Montenegro

$17 Vol.

9%

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San Marino

$0 Vol.

8%

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Switzerland

$190 Vol.

8%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

7%

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Croatia

$228 Vol.

7%

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Albania

$356 Vol.

7%

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Belgium

$419 Vol.

7%

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Austria

$262 Vol.

6%

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Azerbaijan

$286 Vol.

6%

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Estonia

$168 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle on May 12, 14, and 16, with semi-final running orders just revealed, amplifying buzz around early frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, who top betting odds thanks to UMK triumph, catchy staging potential, and balanced jury-televote appeal mirroring past winners. OGAE fan polls echo this, placing Finland ahead, while France, Denmark, and Greece consolidate top-five trader consensus amid ongoing national selections like Italy's Sanremo and Serbia's Pesma za Evroviziju. Key catalysts include final entries, late-April rehearsals, and Eurovision in Concert previews, as live execution and diaspora voting often reshape top 5 outcomes in this unpredictable format.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$50,956
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle on May 12, 14, and 16, with semi-final running orders just revealed, amplifying buzz around early frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, who top betting odds thanks to UMK triumph, catchy staging potential, and balanced jury-televote appeal mirroring past winners. OGAE fan polls echo this, placing Finland ahead, while France, Denmark, and Greece consolidate top-five trader consensus amid ongoing national selections like Italy's Sanremo and Serbia's Pesma za Evroviziju. Key catalysts include final entries, late-April rehearsals, and Eurovision in Concert previews, as live execution and diaspora voting often reshape top 5 outcomes in this unpredictable format.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$50,956
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

71%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 84%, followed by "Israel" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $51K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.