Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market tilts strongly toward Sweden (48% implied probability) and Ukraine (42%), propelled by their dominant televote hauls and jury consistency in recent years, including Switzerland's 2024 win boosting Nordic momentum. Ukraine's resilience amid geopolitical tensions sustains public sympathy votes, while Sweden's Melodifestivalen machine churns out hits. The May 2025 Basel contest looms as the pivotal catalyst, crowning the host nation with an auto-final berth and seeding early favorites. National selections kick off late 2025, but voting blocs—Nordic, Balkan, Big Five auto-qualifiers—will dictate outcomes amid fluctuating odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$28,173 Vol.

Finland
81%

France
69%

Greece
67%

Israel
58%

Denmark
62%

Sweden
43%

Ukraine
37%

Australia
36%

Italy
33%

Cyprus
20%

Croatia
16%

Moldova
15%

Czechia
14%

Albania
14%

Norway
14%

Bulgaria
13%

Latvia
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Armenia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Germany
11%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
10%

United Kingdom
9%

Luxembourg
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
6%

Romania
13%

Malta
21%
$28,173 Vol.

Finland
81%

France
69%

Greece
67%

Israel
58%

Denmark
62%

Sweden
43%

Ukraine
37%

Australia
36%

Italy
33%

Cyprus
20%

Croatia
16%

Moldova
15%

Czechia
14%

Albania
14%

Norway
14%

Bulgaria
13%

Latvia
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Armenia
12%

Montenegro
11%

Germany
11%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
10%

United Kingdom
9%

Luxembourg
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
6%

Romania
13%

Malta
21%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market tilts strongly toward Sweden (48% implied probability) and Ukraine (42%), propelled by their dominant televote hauls and jury consistency in recent years, including Switzerland's 2024 win boosting Nordic momentum. Ukraine's resilience amid geopolitical tensions sustains public sympathy votes, while Sweden's Melodifestivalen machine churns out hits. The May 2025 Basel contest looms as the pivotal catalyst, crowning the host nation with an auto-final berth and seeding early favorites. National selections kick off late 2025, but voting blocs—Nordic, Balkan, Big Five auto-qualifiers—will dictate outcomes amid fluctuating odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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