Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's projected X posts from March 31 to April 7 around 260-319 (topping at 12.5% for 260-279 and 280-299), directly echoing the prior week's resolved 260-279 tally for March 20-27 amid his unrelenting social media cadence of 30-50 daily tweets. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from sustained high-volume engagement on viral AI feuds, political hot takes, and tech milestones like Neuralink speech restoration demos and Cybertruck family features, with recent dailies fluctuating from 36 on March 24 to 83 on March 22. Closely matched frontrunners highlight uncertainty from event-driven spikes—SpaceX updates or xAI buzz—or dips during executive travel, as short-term markets like March 26-28 eye 65-89 posts; daily trackers from March 31 will be pivotal swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$35,383 Vol.
$35,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
6%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
3%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$35,383 Vol.
$35,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
6%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
3%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's projected X posts from March 31 to April 7 around 260-319 (topping at 12.5% for 260-279 and 280-299), directly echoing the prior week's resolved 260-279 tally for March 20-27 amid his unrelenting social media cadence of 30-50 daily tweets. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from sustained high-volume engagement on viral AI feuds, political hot takes, and tech milestones like Neuralink speech restoration demos and Cybertruck family features, with recent dailies fluctuating from 36 on March 24 to 83 on March 22. Closely matched frontrunners highlight uncertainty from event-driven spikes—SpaceX updates or xAI buzz—or dips during executive travel, as short-term markets like March 26-28 eye 65-89 posts; daily trackers from March 31 will be pivotal swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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