Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's consistent X posting rhythm of 25-40 tweets per day, extrapolated to 260-339 total over the March 31-April 7 window, with four leading bins tied at 11.5% amid tight competition and no dominant frontrunner. Recent resolution of 76 posts from March 26-28 (averaging 25 daily) aligns with prior weeks like March 20-27's 260-279 range, but variability stems from event-driven spikes—SpaceX updates, Tesla metrics, or political commentary—that could push toward 340+ or dip below 260 during Easter weekend (April 4-5). Absent fresh catalysts like viral controversies or announcements, the market prices steady engagement patterns, with traders eyeing daily trackers for momentum shifts before the April 7 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,955,076 Vol.
$1,955,076 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,955,076 Vol.
$1,955,076 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's consistent X posting rhythm of 25-40 tweets per day, extrapolated to 260-339 total over the March 31-April 7 window, with four leading bins tied at 11.5% amid tight competition and no dominant frontrunner. Recent resolution of 76 posts from March 26-28 (averaging 25 daily) aligns with prior weeks like March 20-27's 260-279 range, but variability stems from event-driven spikes—SpaceX updates, Tesla metrics, or political commentary—that could push toward 340+ or dip below 260 during Easter weekend (April 4-5). Absent fresh catalysts like viral controversies or announcements, the market prices steady engagement patterns, with traders eyeing daily trackers for momentum shifts before the April 7 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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