Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–319 posts, with 260–279 and 280–299 each at 11.5% implied probability, reflecting the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at exactly 260–279—down from 320–339 the week before and signaling a recent moderation in his high-volume X posting cadence. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable engagement tied to real-time news cycles, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and political commentary, where bursts of activity can swing totals by 50+ posts. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like upcoming earnings calls or viral moments, against his established 37–43 posts/day average; watch early-week pace for momentum shifts as the market nears resolution on April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$1,906,085 Vol.
$1,906,085 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$1,906,085 Vol.
$1,906,085 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–319 posts, with 260–279 and 280–299 each at 11.5% implied probability, reflecting the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at exactly 260–279—down from 320–339 the week before and signaling a recent moderation in his high-volume X posting cadence. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics driven by Elon's variable engagement tied to real-time news cycles, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and political commentary, where bursts of activity can swing totals by 50+ posts. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like upcoming earnings calls or viral moments, against his established 37–43 posts/day average; watch early-week pace for momentum shifts as the market nears resolution on April 7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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