Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around the 260-339 tweet range for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, driven by a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after higher volumes earlier in the month. Verified trackers confirm March 17-24 tallied approximately 370 posts (over 50 daily), and March 3-10 hit 340-359, but late-March dipped to a 38-post daily average for March 26-28 amid Musk's focus on Tesla's FSD simulations, Grok enhancements, and Model Y sales milestones. With no major announcements like product launches or controversies slated, the tight race among mid-range bins highlights uncertainty from potential viral political discourse or SpaceX updates that could swing volume higher or sustain the quieter pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,924,948 Vol.
$1,924,948 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,924,948 Vol.
$1,924,948 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around the 260-339 tweet range for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, driven by a recent slowdown in his posting frequency after higher volumes earlier in the month. Verified trackers confirm March 17-24 tallied approximately 370 posts (over 50 daily), and March 3-10 hit 340-359, but late-March dipped to a 38-post daily average for March 26-28 amid Musk's focus on Tesla's FSD simulations, Grok enhancements, and Model Y sales milestones. With no major announcements like product launches or controversies slated, the tight race among mid-range bins highlights uncertainty from potential viral political discourse or SpaceX updates that could swing volume higher or sustain the quieter pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions