Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume for March 31–April 7 closely clusters around 260–319 posts at 11.5–12.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting the closely contested dynamics of his variable social media engagement. This positioning stems from the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at 260–279 tweets—down from 320–339 the week before—signaling a recent dip amid sustained activity on Tesla Cybertruck feats, Grok AI persuasion benchmarks, and political commentary like judicial accountability. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX milestones, DOGE government efficiency updates, or viral cultural moments, with traders pricing in 35–40 daily posts as baseline amid Elon's unpredictable posting tied to real-time news cycles and public buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 13%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$96,131 Vol.
$96,131 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
9%
240-259
10%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
1%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$96,131 Vol.
$96,131 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
7%
220-239
9%
240-259
10%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
1%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume for March 31–April 7 closely clusters around 260–319 posts at 11.5–12.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting the closely contested dynamics of his variable social media engagement. This positioning stems from the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at 260–279 tweets—down from 320–339 the week before—signaling a recent dip amid sustained activity on Tesla Cybertruck feats, Grok AI persuasion benchmarks, and political commentary like judicial accountability. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX milestones, DOGE government efficiency updates, or viral cultural moments, with traders pricing in 35–40 daily posts as baseline amid Elon's unpredictable posting tied to real-time news cycles and public buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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