Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume for March 31–April 7 closely clusters around 260–339 posts, each bin at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his stabilized late-March pace of 25–40 daily X posts—exemplified by 76 total during March 26–28 amid steady engagement on Tesla milestones, Grok updates, and political commentary. This tight race reflects the unpredictability of Musk's viral posting bursts, driven by real-time cultural flashpoints like SpaceX buzz or Trump-era policy debates, with no major confirmed catalysts like earnings calls or launches to decisively swing volume higher. Key differentiators include potential weekend lulls versus midweek news spikes, keeping lower bins like 240–259 viable at 9.5% as traders hedge against quieter periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,918,865 Vol.
$1,918,865 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
$1,918,865 Vol.
$1,918,865 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume for March 31–April 7 closely clusters around 260–339 posts, each bin at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his stabilized late-March pace of 25–40 daily X posts—exemplified by 76 total during March 26–28 amid steady engagement on Tesla milestones, Grok updates, and political commentary. This tight race reflects the unpredictability of Musk's viral posting bursts, driven by real-time cultural flashpoints like SpaceX buzz or Trump-era policy debates, with no major confirmed catalysts like earnings calls or launches to decisively swing volume higher. Key differentiators include potential weekend lulls versus midweek news spikes, keeping lower bins like 240–259 viable at 9.5% as traders hedge against quieter periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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