Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting the target level by June end at roughly 35% yes, reflecting caution amid current spot prices hovering near $81/bbl after a recent spike from Middle East tensions. Key drivers include persistent OPEC+ production cuts supporting a floor above $80, offset by ample US inventories and softening Chinese demand growth; EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel draw last week but builds loom. Market-implied dynamics hinge on geopolitical escalation risks versus recession fears, with the June 26 EIA report and July 1 Quad Witching as pivotal catalysts—watch for sustained momentum above $82.50 futures for bullish resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$1,618,290 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
49%
↑ $120
65%
↑ $115
54%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
68%
↑ $100
83%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
44%
↓ $70
32%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
4%
↓ $45
4%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$1,618,290 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
49%
↑ $120
65%
↑ $115
54%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
68%
↑ $100
83%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
44%
↓ $70
32%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
4%
↓ $45
4%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting the target level by June end at roughly 35% yes, reflecting caution amid current spot prices hovering near $81/bbl after a recent spike from Middle East tensions. Key drivers include persistent OPEC+ production cuts supporting a floor above $80, offset by ample US inventories and softening Chinese demand growth; EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel draw last week but builds loom. Market-implied dynamics hinge on geopolitical escalation risks versus recession fears, with the June 26 EIA report and July 1 Quad Witching as pivotal catalysts—watch for sustained momentum above $82.50 futures for bullish resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions