Polymarket traders price a modest 35% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) futures hitting $90 by June 30, driven primarily by bearish US inventory builds and subdued global demand growth. Front-month CL trades at $81.20/bbl after slipping 5% in June amid record domestic production exceeding 13.2 million bpd and China's weak economic data curbing imports. The contango futures curve signals ample supply, with key support at $80 and resistance near $85. Watch the June 26 EIA storage report for potential surprises—draws above 2 million bpd could lift odds—while Middle East tensions offer upside volatility ahead of peak summer driving demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,227,486 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,227,486 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest 35% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) futures hitting $90 by June 30, driven primarily by bearish US inventory builds and subdued global demand growth. Front-month CL trades at $81.20/bbl after slipping 5% in June amid record domestic production exceeding 13.2 million bpd and China's weak economic data curbing imports. The contango futures curve signals ample supply, with key support at $80 and resistance near $85. Watch the June 26 EIA storage report for potential surprises—draws above 2 million bpd could lift odds—while Middle East tensions offer upside volatility ahead of peak summer driving demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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