Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward crude oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June's end, with yes shares trading around 55% implied probability, reflecting OPEC+'s reaffirmed production cuts amid tightening US inventories. WTI futures hover near $79.50/bbl, up 2% weekly on drawdowns reported by EIA last Wednesday, though offset by softening Chinese demand signals. Key upside catalysts include escalating Middle East tensions and seasonal summer driving demand, while downside risks stem from potential OPEC+ quota hikes post-June 2 meeting. Traders eye Thursday's API data and June 12 FOMC for rate cut hints boosting economic growth; breaching $82 resistance could accelerate momentum toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,272,700 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
40%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
51%
↑ $110
51%
↑ $105
69%
↑ $100
71%
↓ $85
74%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
30%
↓ $55
17%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,272,700 Vol.
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
40%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
51%
↑ $110
51%
↑ $105
69%
↑ $100
71%
↓ $85
74%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
30%
↓ $55
17%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward crude oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June's end, with yes shares trading around 55% implied probability, reflecting OPEC+'s reaffirmed production cuts amid tightening US inventories. WTI futures hover near $79.50/bbl, up 2% weekly on drawdowns reported by EIA last Wednesday, though offset by softening Chinese demand signals. Key upside catalysts include escalating Middle East tensions and seasonal summer driving demand, while downside risks stem from potential OPEC+ quota hikes post-June 2 meeting. Traders eye Thursday's API data and June 12 FOMC for rate cut hints boosting economic growth; breaching $82 resistance could accelerate momentum toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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