Polymarket traders assign modest 35% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting $90 by June's end, reflecting bearish sentiment from surging U.S. inventories and softening global demand. Recent EIA data revealed a 3.6 million barrel build last week, pushing spot prices to $81.50/bbl amid China's economic slowdown and ample non-OPEC supply. Bullish catalysts include ongoing OPEC+ cuts of 2.2 million bpd and Red Sea disruptions elevating shipping costs. Critical thresholds: sustained trading above $85 signals upside momentum. Watch June 5 EIA inventories, June 2 OPEC+ meeting, and Fed's June 11-12 policy outlook for rate cut signals that could strengthen USD and cap oil gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,431,317 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
47%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
63%
↓ $85
83%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,431,317 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
47%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
63%
↓ $85
83%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign modest 35% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) hitting $90 by June's end, reflecting bearish sentiment from surging U.S. inventories and softening global demand. Recent EIA data revealed a 3.6 million barrel build last week, pushing spot prices to $81.50/bbl amid China's economic slowdown and ample non-OPEC supply. Bullish catalysts include ongoing OPEC+ cuts of 2.2 million bpd and Red Sea disruptions elevating shipping costs. Critical thresholds: sustained trading above $85 signals upside momentum. Watch June 5 EIA inventories, June 2 OPEC+ meeting, and Fed's June 11-12 policy outlook for rate cut signals that could strengthen USD and cap oil gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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