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Chile Presidential Election

Market icon

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast 100.0%

Jeannette Jara <1%

Jaime Mulet <1%

Carolina Tohá <1%

Polymarket

$86,065,815 Vol.

José Antonio Kast 100.0%

Jeannette Jara <1%

Jaime Mulet <1%

Carolina Tohá <1%

Polymarket

$86,065,815 Vol.

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Jeannette Jara

$8,873,168 Vol.

No

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Jaime Mulet

$2,989,188 Vol.

No

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Carolina Tohá

$407,673 Vol.

No

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Gonzalo Winter

$405,502 Vol.

No

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Eduardo Artés

$3,048,376 Vol.

No

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Félix González

$3,700,699 Vol.

No

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Johannes Kaiser

$3,058,238 Vol.

No

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José Antonio Kast

$6,918,328 Vol.

Yes

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Evelyn Matthei

$4,415,718 Vol.

No

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Francesca Muñoz

$5,466,768 Vol.

No

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Ximena Rincón

$13,270,465 Vol.

No

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Michelle Bachelet

$6,818,524 Vol.

No

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Marco Enríquez-Ominami

$11,376,039 Vol.

No

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Franco Parisi

$3,635,525 Vol.

No

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Alberto Undurraga

$8,076,283 Vol.

No

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Harold Mayne-Nicholls

$3,605,322 Vol.

No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Volume
$86,065,815
End Date
Nov 16, 2025
Created At
May 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Chile Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "José Antonio Kast" at 100%, followed by "Jeannette Jara" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Chile Presidential Election" has generated $86.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Chile Presidential Election," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chile Presidential Election" is "José Antonio Kast" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeannette Jara" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chile Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.