Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion (69% implied probability) upon its anticipated IPO, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth trajectory following its February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private raise ever. Revenue run-rate surged from $14 billion to $19 billion annualized within weeks, fueled by Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and developer tools, positioning Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in profitability outlook amid intensifying AI competition. Late March reports indicate bankers like Goldman Sachs pitching a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, though 25% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect macro risks and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs; watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated600B+ 69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 28%
400–600B 2.2%
300–400B 1.3%
$110,325 Vol.
$110,325 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
1%
200–300B
1%
300–400B
1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
25%
600B+ 69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 28%
400–600B 2.2%
300–400B 1.3%
$110,325 Vol.
$110,325 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$48,979 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$6,011 Vol.
1%
200–300B
$4,674 Vol.
1%
300–400B
$28,054 Vol.
1%
400–600B
$5,081 Vol.
2%
600B+
$9,124 Vol.
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$8,402 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion (69% implied probability) upon its anticipated IPO, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth trajectory following its February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private raise ever. Revenue run-rate surged from $14 billion to $19 billion annualized within weeks, fueled by Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and developer tools, positioning Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in profitability outlook amid intensifying AI competition. Late March reports indicate bankers like Goldman Sachs pitching a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, though 25% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect macro risks and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs; watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$110,325End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion (69% implied probability) upon its anticipated IPO, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth trajectory following its February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private raise ever. Revenue run-rate surged from $14 billion to $19 billion annualized within weeks, fueled by Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and developer tools, positioning Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in profitability outlook amid intensifying AI competition. Late March reports indicate bankers like Goldman Sachs pitching a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, though 25% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect macro risks and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs; watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$110,325End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing market cap exceeding $600 billion (69% implied probability) upon its anticipated IPO, driven by the AI developer's explosive growth trajectory following its February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private raise ever. Revenue run-rate surged from $14 billion to $19 billion annualized within weeks, fueled by Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and developer tools, positioning Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in profitability outlook amid intensifying AI competition. Late March reports indicate bankers like Goldman Sachs pitching a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, though 25% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect macro risks and regulatory scrutiny on AI labs; watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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