Name: 2nd Largest company end of January?
Start: 2025-12-18T21:10:48.285582Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

NVIDIA

Microsoft

Saudi Aramco

Alphabet

Amazon

Apple

Tesla

Second Largest Company

2nd Largest company end of January?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd Largest company end of October?

This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


2nd Largest company end of September?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd Largest company end of June?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd Largest company end of 2025?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd Largest company end of November?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd largest company end of March?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

The Pricempire Counter-Strike 2 Market Cap is intended to measure the value of all items available for sale in the Counter-Strike 2 economy across various Counter-Strike 2 marketplaces. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily datapoint of the cumulative Market Cap graph for Counter-Strike 2 skins and other items, as tracked by the market database Pricempire (https://app.pricempire.com/), reaches or surpasses $6 billion for any day between market issuance and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A day’s datapoint will be considered finalized once the following day’s final number displayed in the graph for the respective date at 00:00 has been released.

If the $6 billion threshold is reached or exceeded by any finalized daily Pricempire Counter-Strike 2 market cap, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes”.

Statements by Pricempire that the Counter-Strike Market Cap data is inaccurate for any qualifying point, or downward revisions of an initially qualifying point, will not be sufficient to disqualify a finalized daily Market Cap figure from resolving this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the “CS2 Marketcap” figure and graph available at https://app.pricempire.com/. 

If this resolution source becomes unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No”.

CS2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by January 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe:
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
- iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high.
- OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.
- OpenAI, Inc. is acquired.
- H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at:
https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index.
- Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.

This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe.

This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

2nd Largest company end of January?

Alphabet
$300,037 Vol.
75%

Apple
$227,201 Vol.
22%

NVIDIA
$142,286 Vol.
3%

Microsoft
$100,442 Vol.
<1%

Saudi Aramco
$137,517 Vol.
<1%

Amazon
$152,355 Vol.
<1%

Tesla
$81,507 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

2nd Largest company end of January?

Rules

2nd Largest company end of January?

Market Context

2nd Largest company end of January?

About

Related

2nd Largest company end of January?

Alphabet$300,037 Vol.75%buy Yes76.0¢buy No25.3¢

Apple$227,201 Vol.22%buy Yes23¢buy No79¢

NVIDIA$142,286 Vol.3%buy Yes2.8¢buy No97.4¢

Microsoft$100,442 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.8¢

Saudi Aramco$137,517 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.8¢

Amazon$152,355 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Tesla$81,507 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Market Context

2nd Largest company end of January?

Rules

2nd Largest company end of January?

Market Context

2nd Largest company end of January?

About

Related

Alphabet
$300,037 Vol.
75%

Apple
$227,201 Vol.
22%

NVIDIA
$142,286 Vol.
3%

Microsoft
$100,442 Vol.
<1%

Saudi Aramco
$137,517 Vol.
<1%

Amazon
$152,355 Vol.
<1%

Tesla
$81,507 Vol.
<1%