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Tech·IA

xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?

Market icon
Tech·IA

xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?

NEW
Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$114 Vol.

Polymarket

25%+

$0 Vol.

75%

30%+

$0 Vol.

72%

40%+

$0 Vol.

60%

50%+

$114 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok has yet to publish an official score on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 179 competition-level math problems aimed at probing frontier AI capabilities—leaving trader consensus leaning against a release by June 30 amid tight timelines. Recent developments include xAI's April launch of Grok-1.5, which excelled on real-world spatial understanding but trails leaders like OpenAI's o1-preview (2% on FrontierMath) in advanced math reasoning, and the company's May announcement of a massive 100,000 Nvidia H100 GPU supercluster in Memphis to accelerate future models like Grok-2, expected in coming months. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google intensifies focus on math benchmarks, with traders eyeing Elon Musk's X posts or xAI blog updates as key catalysts before the deadline; historical delays in AI model releases add uncertainty to near-term resolution.

xAI's Grok has yet to publish an official score on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 179 competition-level math problems aimed at probing frontier AI capabilities—leaving trader consensus leaning against a release by June 30 amid tight timelines. Recent developments include xAI's April launch of Grok-1.5, which excelled on real-world spatial understanding but trails leaders like OpenAI's o1-preview (2% on FrontierMath) in advanced math reasoning, and the company's May announcement of a massive 100,000 Nvidia H100 GPU supercluster in Memphis to accelerate future models like Grok-2, expected in coming months. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google intensifies focus on math benchmarks, with traders eyeing Elon Musk's X posts or xAI blog updates as key catalysts before the deadline; historical delays in AI model releases add uncertainty to near-term resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok has yet to publish an official score on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 179 competition-level math problems aimed at probing frontier AI capabilities—leaving trader consensus leaning against a release by June 30 amid tight timelines. Recent developments include xAI's April launch of Grok-1.5, which excelled on real-world spatial understanding but trails leaders like OpenAI's o1-preview (2% on FrontierMath) in advanced math reasoning, and the company's May announcement of a massive 100,000 Nvidia H100 GPU supercluster in Memphis to accelerate future models like Grok-2, expected in coming months. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google intensifies focus on math benchmarks, with traders eyeing Elon Musk's X posts or xAI blog updates as key catalysts before the deadline; historical delays in AI model releases add uncertainty to near-term resolution.

xAI's Grok has yet to publish an official score on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 179 competition-level math problems aimed at probing frontier AI capabilities—leaving trader consensus leaning against a release by June 30 amid tight timelines. Recent developments include xAI's April launch of Grok-1.5, which excelled on real-world spatial understanding but trails leaders like OpenAI's o1-preview (2% on FrontierMath) in advanced math reasoning, and the company's May announcement of a massive 100,000 Nvidia H100 GPU supercluster in Memphis to accelerate future models like Grok-2, expected in coming months. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google intensifies focus on math benchmarks, with traders eyeing Elon Musk's X posts or xAI blog updates as key catalysts before the deadline; historical delays in AI model releases add uncertainty to near-term resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "25%+" con 75%, seguido de "30%+" con 72%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 75¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?" es "25%+" con 75%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30%+" con 72%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "xAI Grok en FrontierMath Benchmark antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.