xAI's Grok models trail on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark, with Grok 4 scoring just 12-14% on Tiers 1-3 in July 2025 evaluations and 2% on Tier 4, far behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 38% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 40% on Tiers 1-3 as of early 2026. Trader sentiment hinges on xAI's rapid iteration via the Colossus supercluster, exemplified by Grok 4.20's recent dominance on agentic benchmarks like PredictionArena and low hallucination rates. Upcoming Grok 5 release—delayed from Q1 2026—could propel scores higher before the June 30 deadline, but awaits independent Epoch verification amid intensifying AI mathematical reasoning competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$19,259 Vol.
25%+
62%
30%+
53%
40%+
62%
50%+
10%
$19,259 Vol.
25%+
62%
30%+
53%
40%+
62%
50%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models trail on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark, with Grok 4 scoring just 12-14% on Tiers 1-3 in July 2025 evaluations and 2% on Tier 4, far behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro at 38% and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 at 40% on Tiers 1-3 as of early 2026. Trader sentiment hinges on xAI's rapid iteration via the Colossus supercluster, exemplified by Grok 4.20's recent dominance on agentic benchmarks like PredictionArena and low hallucination rates. Upcoming Grok 5 release—delayed from Q1 2026—could propel scores higher before the June 30 deadline, but awaits independent Epoch verification amid intensifying AI mathematical reasoning competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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