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Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?

Market icon

Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$186,698 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$186,698 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Volumen
$186,698
Fecha de finalización
Apr 29, 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2024, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Volumen
$186,698
Fecha de finalización
Apr 29, 2025
Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2024, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?" has generated $186.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 26, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.