Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

44%

Kevin Warsh

$240m Vol.

$11m today

$7m Liq.

611

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

$10m Vol.

$297k today

$555k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

16%

December 31

$13m Vol.

$65.1k today

$131k Liq.

1,191

Ends in 2 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

58%

<$100b

$3m Vol.

$126k Liq.

310

Ends in about 1 month

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$4m Vol.

$33.4k Liq.

290

Ends in 11 months

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

30%

Pam Bondi

$1m Vol.

$128k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$24.9k Liq.

246

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

28%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$25.3k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

88%

250-500k

$5m Vol.

$76.5k Liq.

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$21.7k Liq.

40

Ends in about 1 month

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

15%

$351k Vol.

$37.1k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

74%

April 30, 2026

$960k Vol.

$22.3k Liq.

32

Ends in 3 months

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.0k Vol.

$107k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

1%

$133k Vol.

$8.1k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

Trump Presidency

Politics

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

25%

January 26

$4.3k Vol.

$13.8k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

116

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

59%

No meeting by June 30

$498k Vol.

$41.3k Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

2%

February 28, 2026

$10m Vol.

$5.0k Liq.

1,096

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

86%

Donald Trump

$71.6k Vol.

$57.3k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$530k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months