Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$642,245 Vol.
31 mar 2026
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.50
No
↑ $4.25
No
↑ $4.00
Sí
↑ $3.75
Sí
↑ $3.50
Sí
↑ $3.35
Sí
↑ $3.25
Sí
↓ $3.15
No
↓ $3.10
No
↓ $3.05
No
↓ $3.00
No
$642,245 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$96,399 Vol.
No
↑ $4.50
$118,763 Vol.
No
↑ $4.25
$65,734 Vol.
No
↑ $4.00
$73,833 Vol.
Sí
↑ $3.75
$0 Vol.
Sí
↑ $3.50
$0 Vol.
Sí
↑ $3.35
$0 Vol.
Sí
↑ $3.25
$0 Vol.
Sí
↓ $3.15
$36,913 Vol.
No
↓ $3.10
$43,650 Vol.
No
↓ $3.05
$176,429 Vol.
No
↓ $3.00
$30,524 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volumen
$642,245Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Volumen
$642,245Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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