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Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

$130,227 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$130,227 Vol.

Polymarket
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Corea del Norte

$11,451 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Cuba

$683 Vol.

13%

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Arabia Saudita

$4,381 Vol.

13%

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Líbano

$17,620 Vol.

6%

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Afganistán

$81 Vol.

5%

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Irak

$362 Vol.

5%

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Pakistán

$226 Vol.

7%

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Siria

$4,387 Vol.

7%

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Venezuela

$80,172 Vol.

7%

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Túnez

$490 Vol.

12%

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Kuwait

$1,040 Vol.

9%

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Catar

$955 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Indonesia

$6,928 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Malasia

$458 Vol.

5%

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Bangladés

$994 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of early April 2026, no countries have newly recognized Israel diplomatically in the past 30 days, leaving trader sentiment cautious for the June 30 deadline amid stalled normalization efforts. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated two days ago that Israel backed out of relations at the last minute following Assad's ouster, dimming near-term prospects despite earlier U.S.-backed talks. Saudi Arabia has adopted a harsher tone, conditioning any Abraham Accords expansion on Palestinian statehood progress, with February reports signaling slipping momentum. Regional tensions, including the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, further complicate breakthroughs, though post-Assad Syria and Gulf diplomacy remain key variables to watch before resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$130,227
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of early April 2026, no countries have newly recognized Israel diplomatically in the past 30 days, leaving trader sentiment cautious for the June 30 deadline amid stalled normalization efforts. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated two days ago that Israel backed out of relations at the last minute following Assad's ouster, dimming near-term prospects despite earlier U.S.-backed talks. Saudi Arabia has adopted a harsher tone, conditioning any Abraham Accords expansion on Palestinian statehood progress, with February reports signaling slipping momentum. Regional tensions, including the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, further complicate breakthroughs, though post-Assad Syria and Gulf diplomacy remain key variables to watch before resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$130,227
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cuba" con 13%, seguido de "Arabia Saudita" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $130.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es "Cuba" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arabia Saudita" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.