Market icon

¿Qué empresas tendrán un modelo de IA n .º1 antes del 30 de junio?

$541,837 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volumen
$541,837
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026
Creado en
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Qué empresas tendrán un modelo de IA n .º1 antes del 30 de junio?

$541,837 Vol.

Market icon

xAI

$156,442 Vol.

37%

Market icon

OpenAI

$234,367 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Anthropic

$140,513 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Mistral

$102 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Alibaba

$236 Vol.

14%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$2,915 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Z.ai

$1,577 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Baidu

$671 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Meituan

$1,207 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Meta

$1,275 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Nvidia

$2,533 Vol.

6%

Acerca de

Volumen
$541,837
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026
Creado en
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.