Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.4%) amid escalating US-Iran conflict and strained NATO relations, with no official announcements, diplomatic overtures, or preparatory envoy visits signaling a summit. Trump's April 1 remarks labeling NATO a "paper tiger" for lacking support in reopening the Strait of Hormuz have heightened tensions, echoing Putin's positioning as a Middle East peace broker via recent Kremlin talks with Egypt's foreign minister on Iran and Armenia's prime minister. Absent progress on Ukraine ceasefire or bilateral preconditions, specific venues like Gulf countries or Turkey carry minimal odds, as traders price in geopolitical barriers over neutral-site diplomacy historically used for such high-stakes summits. Trump's confirmed May Beijing trip with Xi underscores selective foreign policy prioritization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo habrá reunión para el 30 de junio 87.3%
Otro país de la UE 3.0%
País del Golfo 2.1%
Estados Unidos 1.9%
$4,616,675 Vol.
$4,616,675 Vol.

No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio
87%

Otro país de la UE
3%

País del Golfo
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

Otro
2%

Turquía
2%

Rusia
1%

China
1%

Suiza
1%

Bielorrusia
1%

Japón
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Australia
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Título del grupo: Ucrania
<1%
No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio 87.3%
Otro país de la UE 3.0%
País del Golfo 2.1%
Estados Unidos 1.9%
$4,616,675 Vol.
$4,616,675 Vol.

No habrá reunión para el 30 de junio
87%

Otro país de la UE
3%

País del Golfo
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

Otro
2%

Turquía
2%

Rusia
1%

China
1%

Suiza
1%

Bielorrusia
1%

Japón
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Australia
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Título del grupo: Ucrania
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.4%) amid escalating US-Iran conflict and strained NATO relations, with no official announcements, diplomatic overtures, or preparatory envoy visits signaling a summit. Trump's April 1 remarks labeling NATO a "paper tiger" for lacking support in reopening the Strait of Hormuz have heightened tensions, echoing Putin's positioning as a Middle East peace broker via recent Kremlin talks with Egypt's foreign minister on Iran and Armenia's prime minister. Absent progress on Ukraine ceasefire or bilateral preconditions, specific venues like Gulf countries or Turkey carry minimal odds, as traders price in geopolitical barriers over neutral-site diplomacy historically used for such high-stakes summits. Trump's confirmed May Beijing trip with Xi underscores selective foreign policy prioritization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes