Danielle Martin, the Liberal candidate and prominent local family physician, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, driven by the riding's status as a longstanding Liberal stronghold—previously held by Chrystia Freeland—and recent polling projections showing her ahead by 39–40 points over Conservative Don Hodgson and NDP's Imran Khan. Advance polls opened April 3 amid heavy campaigning, including endorsements and door-knocking from Prime Minister Mark Carney and cabinet ministers like Julie Dabrusin, reinforcing her position in this urban Toronto constituency. While low by-election turnout typically favors incumbents, an upset could arise from unexpectedly high opposition mobilization, a late scandal, or strategic voting shifts before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoUniversity—Rosedale By-Election Winner
University—Rosedale By-Election Winner
Danielle Martin 99.4%
Don Hodgson <1%
Imran Khan <1%
Samuel Baxter <1%
$51,571 Vol.
$51,571 Vol.
Danielle Martin
99%
Don Hodgson
1%
Imran Khan
<1%
Samuel Baxter
<1%
Andy D’Andrea
<1%
Leslie Bory
<1%
Bill Whatcott
<1%
Serena Purdy
<1%
Andrew Massey
<1%
Raiden DeDominicis
<1%
Danielle Martin 99.4%
Don Hodgson <1%
Imran Khan <1%
Samuel Baxter <1%
$51,571 Vol.
$51,571 Vol.
Danielle Martin
99%
Don Hodgson
1%
Imran Khan
<1%
Samuel Baxter
<1%
Andy D’Andrea
<1%
Leslie Bory
<1%
Bill Whatcott
<1%
Serena Purdy
<1%
Andrew Massey
<1%
Raiden DeDominicis
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Danielle Martin, the Liberal candidate and prominent local family physician, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, driven by the riding's status as a longstanding Liberal stronghold—previously held by Chrystia Freeland—and recent polling projections showing her ahead by 39–40 points over Conservative Don Hodgson and NDP's Imran Khan. Advance polls opened April 3 amid heavy campaigning, including endorsements and door-knocking from Prime Minister Mark Carney and cabinet ministers like Julie Dabrusin, reinforcing her position in this urban Toronto constituency. While low by-election turnout typically favors incumbents, an upset could arise from unexpectedly high opposition mobilization, a late scandal, or strategic voting shifts before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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