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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón

Christine Drazan 45%

Ed Diehl 42%

Chris Dudley 12%

Danielle Bethell 1.7%

Polymarket

$64,420 Vol.

Christine Drazan 45%

Ed Diehl 42%

Chris Dudley 12%

Danielle Bethell 1.7%

Polymarket

$64,420 Vol.

Christine Drazan

$16,279 Vol.

45%

Ed Diehl

$3,819 Vol.

42%

Chris Dudley

$9,290 Vol.

12%

Danielle Bethell

$5,589 Vol.

2%

Robert Neuman

$6,769 Vol.

1%

Chael Sonnen

$10,341 Vol.

1%

Kyle Duyck

$9,939 Vol.

1%

Caleb Kintz

$2,393 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds a slim edge over Ed Diehl in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting a crowded field of over 10 candidates splitting the vote amid limited public polling. Drazan's 2022 nomination, where she nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, provides strong name recognition, but Diehl has surged via grassroots momentum from leading a successful anti-tax referendum and a March internal poll showing him dominant among informed Republicans. Chris Dudley lags despite top fundraising at $1.7 million, trailing Drazan's $1.5 million. Recent forums, including April 3 events in Pendleton and Portland featuring both leaders, yielded no decisive separation on key issues like public safety and homelessness. Upcoming ballot mailing around April 29 and potential endorsements or ad blitzes could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$64,420
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds a slim edge over Ed Diehl in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting a crowded field of over 10 candidates splitting the vote amid limited public polling. Drazan's 2022 nomination, where she nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, provides strong name recognition, but Diehl has surged via grassroots momentum from leading a successful anti-tax referendum and a March internal poll showing him dominant among informed Republicans. Chris Dudley lags despite top fundraising at $1.7 million, trailing Drazan's $1.5 million. Recent forums, including April 3 events in Pendleton and Portland featuring both leaders, yielded no decisive separation on key issues like public safety and homelessness. Upcoming ballot mailing around April 29 and potential endorsements or ad blitzes could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$64,420
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Christine Drazan" con 45%, seguido de "Ed Diehl" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" ha generado $64.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" es "Christine Drazan" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ed Diehl" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.