Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen, who secured 74% in the 2024 general election, recently filed for a third term in the deeply red OK-02 (R+28 partisan voter index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 92.5%. Candidate filing closed April 1 with minimal opposition: self-funded moderate William Webb challenging Brecheen in the June 16 Republican primary, and Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade vying for their nomination ahead of the November 3 general election. No polls show competitiveness, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Brecheen scandal, or national wave, though such barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOK-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OK-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,668 Vol.
$10,668 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$10,668 Vol.
$10,668 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,219 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$3,449 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen, who secured 74% in the 2024 general election, recently filed for a third term in the deeply red OK-02 (R+28 partisan voter index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 92.5%. Candidate filing closed April 1 with minimal opposition: self-funded moderate William Webb challenging Brecheen in the June 16 Republican primary, and Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade vying for their nomination ahead of the November 3 general election. No polls show competitiveness, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Brecheen scandal, or national wave, though such barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,668Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen, who secured 74% in the 2024 general election, recently filed for a third term in the deeply red OK-02 (R+28 partisan voter index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 92.5%. Candidate filing closed April 1 with minimal opposition: self-funded moderate William Webb challenging Brecheen in the June 16 Republican primary, and Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade vying for their nomination ahead of the November 3 general election. No polls show competitiveness, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Brecheen scandal, or national wave, though such barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,668Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen, who secured 74% in the 2024 general election, recently filed for a third term in the deeply red OK-02 (R+28 partisan voter index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican hold at 92.5%. Candidate filing closed April 1 with minimal opposition: self-funded moderate William Webb challenging Brecheen in the June 16 Republican primary, and Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade vying for their nomination ahead of the November 3 general election. No polls show competitiveness, reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Brecheen scandal, or national wave, though such barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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